Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 45.457315 52.218336 59.252095 67.084261 75.530850 84.336573 94.181478
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 37.010387 46.763466 57.475135 69.981655 84.056843 99.291462 116.912556
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 31.653739 43.016108 56.006859 71.688399 89.849499 109.988093 133.779383
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 26.254139 38.369014 52.771948 70.706269 92.017557 116.153117 145.183538
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 21.967643 34.476607 49.913373 69.689830 93.732687 121.462648 155.327214
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 18.980450 31.843782 48.267746 69.842028 96.586944 127.906287 166.633728
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 16.504230 29.582102 46.839212 70.044187 99.325932 134.084953 177.538765
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 14.577591 27.847510 45.909351 70.719319 102.524889 140.730766 188.946551
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 12.386673 25.470951 43.913759 69.842843 103.647757 144.763801 197.161295
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 11.149047 24.378941 43.565345 71.039219 107.327157 151.882826 209.081840
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 10.152443 23.546195 43.495528 72.544246 111.362428 159.425729 221.525972
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 8.646494 21.696079 41.821087 71.753666 112.336791 163.103900 229.211769
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.009560 19.411838 39.363406 69.783546 111.716761 164.782318 234.486064
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.660137 19.401365 40.334864 72.638439 117.520499 174.627103 249.943173
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.111605 18.942151 40.562738 74.401733 121.849328 182.598666 263.090709
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.080517 17.380513 38.934673 73.394176 122.369294 185.649116 270.058001
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.180712 15.919680 37.350106 72.354122 122.771973 188.497962 276.739322
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.585803 15.010230 36.606422 72.509867 124.784788 193.417817 286.036148
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.069052 14.178513 35.928670 72.716804 126.837941 198.376222 295.383419
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.675327 13.568164 35.588384 73.407833 129.552832 204.201491 305.848846
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.144464 12.460336 34.269374 72.510707 129.971364 206.960213 312.367060
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.904182 12.109322 34.308332 73.735246 133.413868 213.746565 324.091041
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.717803 11.877449 34.550651 75.275446 137.313044 221.156395 336.646458